Robert Lewandowski has a poor goalscoring record against Bayern Munich, the club he is expected to join this summer, which means he is unlikely to overhaul Cristiano Ronaldo in the Champions League goalscoring chart this season.
What does look certain is that Lionel Messi’s stranglehold on the Champions League top goalscorer honour appears to finally be over after four successive winning seasons, but it is not entirely settled whether Ronaldo or Lewandowski succeeds him.
Ronaldo will certainly be unlucky if he does not scoop the award for a second time having secured it with Manchester United in 2008.
His current tally of 12 goals would have been enough to be top scorer in all bar two previous seasons of the European Cup, with Messi netting 14 last year and Jose Altafini helping himself to the same number for AC Milan in 1963.
Altafini’s record is slightly misleading though as eight of his total came over two legs of a first-round clash with those well-known European giants Union Luxembourg, although he did score both goals in the final victory over Eusebio-inspired Benfica.
Furthermore, Ronaldo’s goal in the 4-1 defeat in Dortmund was the sixth Champions League game in succession that he found the target, equalling the record currently shared by Marouane Chamakh and Galatasaray hotshot Burak Yilmaz.
Ronaldo already has three Bernabeu hat-tricks to his name this season and Real Madrid could desperately do with another if they are to have any chance of pulling back their three-goal deficit and reaching the final.
It’s 1/5 with bookmaker Ladbrokes
that Ronaldo is this season’s Champions League top scorer.
The fact Lewandowski scored all four goals in the Dortmund success has taken his competition tally to 10 and he should have two games to catch Ronaldo.
Lewandowski is clearly prolific as his 10 goals have come from just 18 shots on target in the competition and he has shortened to 7/2 with Ladbrokes
to be the Champions League top scorer.
However, there are two reasons why this is unlikely.
Firstly, he would almost certainly have to score more than Ronaldo at the Bernabeu in the second leg and given that the Portuguese forward has 10 goals in his last 10 games in front of his own fans, this is a big ask.
Secondly, there is Lewandowski’s not overly inspiring scoring record against Bayern Munich, who are clearly the most likely opposition in the final.
The Pole has faced Bayern five times with Dortmund - and scored only one goal.